Wednesday, 31 October 2012

Tesoro Is Cheaper Than Valero


When we compare two giant refineries, namely Tesoro (TSO) and Valero (VLO), we observe that the former is more attractive than the latter due to its low valuations, higher profit margins, better return on equity, and low dependence on debt. TSO is trading at attractive valuations, with an EV/EBITDA of 3.75x, at a discount when compared to its peer VLO's EV/EBITDA of 4x. Tesoro's five-year expected PEG ratio of 0.75 in comparison to 0.99 for Valero depicts that TSO's investors can buy growth cheaply. Therefore, we recommend investors to prefer Tesoro over Valero.
Tesoro should be preferred by investors due to its increasing crack spreads, higher capacity utilization, and increasing throughput. We believe the company will acquire BP's (BP) Carson refinery with its strong financial and legal position. This acquisition in Carson City will enable the company to achieve synergies because of its strategic location with TSO's West Coast refinery. Moreover, this acquisition will further increase the company's profitability through managing the carbon tax regulation in the California region.
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